• Apr 17, 2025

US airlines struggle to forecast their business in worsening economic fog

President Donald Trump's trade war has created the biggest uncertainty for U.S. airlines since the COVID pandemic. While Delta Air Lines and Frontier have withdrawn their full-year outlook, United has offered two different earnings forecasts. "It kind of really shows a lack of conviction," said Brian Mulberry, client portfolio manager at Zacks Investment Management, which holds shares of United.

  • Apr 17, 2025

US tariffs will weaken global economy and trigger inflation but not a global recession, IMF says

Surging U.S. tariffs will weaken the global economy and push up inflation this year, according to projections to be released next week by the International Monetary Fund. The IMF’s Managing Director, Kristalina Georgieva, said Thursday that the Trump administration’s sharp increases in duties have caused global uncertainty to spike. The import taxes will slow global growth, but not cause a worldwide recession, she added.

  • Apr 17, 2025

Analysis-Markets see door wide open for more ECB rate cuts on tariff hit

Traders saw the all-clear on Thursday from the European Central Bank to bet on even steeper interest rate cuts ahead, confident the central bank will ease policy further if trade tensions dent a fragile economy. The ECB cut rates by 25 basis points (bps) for a seventh time this cycle to 2.25%, to bolster an already struggling euro zone economy facing a large hit from U.S. tariffs that have whipsawed markets since President Donald Trump's April 2 reciprocal tariffs. The euro weakened and government bond yields across the bloc fell sharply as traders reacted to the dovish ECB message.